Monday, August 27, 2012

[Peninsula-Patriots] Phone number information

Jane S. has provided the phone number for the Virginia contact. It is Virginia: (804) 780-0111.    Please call and tell them to  
OPPOSE the rules change that will give future presidential campaigns control over who gets to be a delegate (current RULE 15, but is being renumbered to 16)…and OPPOSE the new RULE 12 which allows the RNC to change the rules at any time between conventions.

DeWitt Edwards 
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set   lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." 
  Samuel Adams 

  ----- Forwarded   Message -----
  From: DeWitt Edwards <l_edwards@verizon.net>
 To: "Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com" <Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com> 
 Sent: Monday, August 27, 2012 9:58 PM
 Subject: Re: [Peninsula-Patriots] Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

If someone can identify the names and phone numbers of those we must call will you please post them for the rest of us. Thanks

DeWitt   Edwards 
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." 
  Samuel Adams 

    From: Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche <ruth1860@aol.com>
 To: Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com 
 Sent: Monday, August 27, 2012 9:39 PM
 Subject: [Peninsula-Patriots] Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

Patriots - I received this email tonight.  It's a call to action.
  Ruth

---------- Forwarded message ----------
  From: Scott Cooper<ScottCooper772@aol.com>
      Date: Mon, Aug 27, 2012 at 9:19 PM
    Subject: Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

  	Ruth:

  	Once again, the GOP establishment is up to tricks that are an attempt to shut out the grassroots, as well as the citizens who have selected delegates to represent the people at this week's Republican National Convention.  

  	Fortunately there are conservatives in Tampa, like National Delegates Morton Blackwell and Republican Party of Virginia Chairman Pat Mullins who are trying to put a stop to it.

  	Rather than my explaining what is happening and WHAT MUST BE DONE – please read Michelle Malkin's blog post, which explains exactly what YOU must do tonight and tomorrow morning to help put a stop to this madness.

  	Please click here to read Michelle Malkin's instructions!

  	Please take action and please forward this message to your conservative sphere of influence.  Please do it tonight, as time is of the essence!

  	Blessings,
  	Scott Cooper

  	P.S.  In the next 7 – 14 days I am working on a very important project that involves evangelical pastors in the state of Virginia.  If you, or you know someone who would be interested in helping me with this important project – please reply to this e-mail and let me know!  Thanks!

          This message was sent to ruth1860@gmail.com from:
Scott Cooper | 10908 Courthouse Road  Suite 102-230 | Fredericksburg, VA 22407
   Email Marketing by   

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Re: [Peninsula-Patriots] Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

If someone can identify the names and phone numbers of those we must call will you please post them for the rest of us. Thanks

DeWitt   Edwards 
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." 
  Samuel Adams 

    From: Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche <ruth1860@aol.com>
 To: Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com 
 Sent: Monday, August 27, 2012 9:39 PM
 Subject: [Peninsula-Patriots] Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

Patriots - I received this email tonight.  It's a call to action.
  Ruth

---------- Forwarded message ----------
  From: Scott Cooper<ScottCooper772@aol.com>
      Date: Mon, Aug 27, 2012 at 9:19 PM
    Subject: Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

  	Ruth:

  	Once again, the GOP establishment is up to tricks that are an attempt to shut out the grassroots, as well as the citizens who have selected delegates to represent the people at this week's Republican National Convention.  

  	Fortunately there are conservatives in Tampa, like National Delegates Morton Blackwell and Republican Party of Virginia Chairman Pat Mullins who are trying to put a stop to it.

  	Rather than my explaining what is happening and WHAT MUST BE DONE – please read Michelle Malkin's blog post, which explains exactly what YOU must do tonight and tomorrow morning to help put a stop to this madness.

  	Please click here to read Michelle Malkin's instructions!

  	Please take action and please forward this message to your conservative sphere of influence.  Please do it tonight, as time is of the essence!

  	Blessings,
  	Scott Cooper

  	P.S.  In the next 7 – 14 days I am working on a very important project that involves evangelical pastors in the state of Virginia.  If you, or you know someone who would be interested in helping me with this important project – please reply to this e-mail and let me know!  Thanks!

          This message was sent to ruth1860@gmail.com from:
Scott Cooper | 10908 Courthouse Road  Suite 102-230 | Fredericksburg, VA 22407
   Email Marketing by   

      	  		  						 	  					Manage Your Subscription  				  															 |   								  					Forward This Message  				  					  	

  --
  Please Note: If you hit "REPLY", your message will be sent to everyone on this mailing list (Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com)
  This message was sent by Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche (ruth1860@aol.com) from Peninsula Patriots.
  To learn more about Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche, visit his/her member profile
  Set my mailing list to email me As they are sent | In one daily email | Don't send me mailing list messages 

    		Meetup, PO Box 4668 #37895 New York, New York 10163-4668 | support@meetup.com

Re: [Peninsula-Patriots] Election forcast

Look for martial law or the election to be stolen electronically....Either way I expect things to go badly come November.

Think about who you are and what you are about...Whom do you serve?God or Mammon?Freedom or tyranny?-----David W. Callis 2011

From: DeWitt Edwards <l_edwards@verizon.net>
To: peninsula-patriots-list@meetup.com
Sent: Saturday, August 25, 2012 12:23 PM
Subject: [Peninsula-Patriots] Election forcast

If you are a Republican you may find the following information encouraging. I heard professor Kenneth Bickers interviewed on Shawn Hannity's radio program yesterday. One must admit, these guys have a remarkable record in their predictions.

Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study saysAugust 22, 2012 •   Social Sciences
•   Discovery & Innovation, Discoveries & Achievements, Research Collaborations
 
A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.
The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.
"Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble," said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program.
According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama's 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.
"For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner," said Berry. "The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office. What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it's the former, the president may receive credit for the economy's trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008."
Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.
The study will be published this month in PS: Political Science & Politics, a peer-reviewed journal of the American Political Science Association. It will be among about a dozen election prediction models, but one of only two to focus on the Electoral College.
While many forecast models are based on the popular vote, the Electoral College model developed by Bickers and Berry is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions.
In addition to state and national unemployment rates, the authors looked at per capita income, which indicates the extent to which people have more or less disposable income. Research shows that these two factors affect the major parties differently: Voters hold Democrats more responsible for unemployment rates while Republicans are held more responsible for per capita income.
Accordingly -- and depending largely on which party is in the White House at the time -- each factor can either help or hurt the major parties disproportionately.
Their results show that "the apparent advantage of being a Democratic candidate and holding the White House disappears when the national unemployment rate hits 5.6 percent," Berry said.  The results indicate, according to Bickers, "that the incumbency advantage enjoyed by President Obama, though statistically significant, is not great enough to offset high rates of unemployment currently experienced in many of the states."
In an examination of other factors, the authors found that none of the following had any statistically significant effect on whether a state ultimately went for a particular candidate: The location of a party's national convention; the home state of the vice president; or the partisanship of state governors.
In 2012, "What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida," Bickers said.
In Colorado, which went for Obama in 2008, the model predicts that Romney will receive 51.9 percent of the vote to Obama's 48.1 percent, again with only the two major parties considered.
The authors also provided caveats. Factors they said may affect their prediction include the timeframe of the economic data used in the study and close tallies in certain states. The current data was taken five months in advance of the Nov. 6 election and they plan to update it with more current economic data in September. A second factor is that states very close to a 50-50 split may fall an unexpected direction.
"As scholars and pundits well know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly predict," Berry said.
Election prediction models "suggest that presidential elections are about big things and the stewardship of the national economy," Bickers said. "It's not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy."
Contact:
Kenneth Bickers, 303-492-2363
bickers@colorado.edu
Michael Berry, 303-556-6244
michael.berry@ucdenver.edu
Peter Caughey, CU-Boulder media relations, 303-492-4007
David Kelly, CU Denver media relations, 303-315-6374
 
 
DeWitt Edwards 
"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen." 
 Samuel Adams 

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Re: RE: [Peninsula-Patriots] Election forcast

I'm with you Brad.

Larry Heatwole

On 08/27/12, Brad Phlipot<bphlipot@mac.com> wrote:

At this point DeWitt we must hope and pray for the removal of the current administration thus allowing Romney and Ryan to begin unraveling all of Obummercare and his crazy EO's he has put a pen to. I'm convinced that without the removal we as Americans in America are finished economically. The most important piece in all this is that we get American voters out to vote in this election as we are poised to make a dramatic difference just by voting. Let's hope and Pray that we all do our part this November, Peace.

Brad

From: peninsula-patriots-list@meetup.com [mailto:peninsula-patriots-list@meetup.com] On Behalf Of DeWitt Edwards
Sent: Saturday, August 25, 2012 12:24 PM
To: peninsula-patriots-list@meetup.com
Subject: [Peninsula-Patriots] Election forcast

If you are a Republican you may find the following information encouraging. I heard professor Kenneth Bickers interviewed on Shawn Hannity's radio program yesterday. One must admit, these guys have a remarkable record in their predictions.

Analysis of election factors points to Romney win, University of Colorado study says

August 22, 2012 •

Social Sciences

•

Discovery & Innovation, Discoveries & Achievements, Research Collaborations

A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.

The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.

"Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble," said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program.

According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama's 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.

"For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner," said Berry. "The economy has seen some improvement since President Obama took office. What remains to be seen is whether voters will consider the economy in relative or absolute terms. If it's the former, the president may receive credit for the economy's trajectory and win a second term. In the latter case, Romney should pick up a number of states Obama won in 2008."

Their model correctly predicted all elections since 1980, including two years when independent candidates ran strongly, 1980 and 1992. It also correctly predicted the outcome in 2000, when Al Gore received the most popular vote but George W. Bush won the election.

The study will be published this month in PS: Political Science & Politics, a peer-reviewed journal of the American Political Science Association. It will be among about a dozen election prediction models, but one of only two to focus on the Electoral College.

While many forecast models are based on the popular vote, the Electoral College model developed by Bickers and Berry is the only one of its type to include more than one state-level measure of economic conditions.

In addition to state and national unemployment rates, the authors looked at per capita income, which indicates the extent to which people have more or less disposable income. Research shows that these two factors affect the major parties differently: Voters hold Democrats more responsible for unemployment rates while Republicans are held more responsible for per capita income.

Accordingly -- and depending largely on which party is in the White House at the time -- each factor can either help or hurt the major parties disproportionately.

Their results show that "the apparent advantage of being a Democratic candidate and holding the White House disappears when the national unemployment rate hits 5.6 percent," Berry said. The results indicate, according to Bickers, "that the incumbency advantage enjoyed by President Obama, though statistically significant, is not great enough to offset high rates of unemployment currently experienced in many of the states."

In an examination of other factors, the authors found that none of the following had any statistically significant effect on whether a state ultimately went for a particular candidate: The location of a party's national convention; the home state of the vice president; or the partisanship of state governors.

In 2012, "What is striking about our state-level economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio and Florida," Bickers said.

In Colorado, which went for Obama in 2008, the model predicts that Romney will receive 51.9 percent of the vote to Obama's 48.1 percent, again with only the two major parties considered.

The authors also provided caveats. Factors they said may affect their prediction include the timeframe of the economic data used in the study and close tallies in certain states. The current data was taken five months in advance of the Nov. 6 election and they plan to update it with more current economic data in September. A second factor is that states very close to a 50-50 split may fall an unexpected direction.

"As scholars and pundits well know, each election has unique elements that could lead one or more states to behave in ways in a particular election that the model is unable to correctly predict," Berry said.

Election prediction models "suggest that presidential elections are about big things and the stewardship of the national economy," Bickers said. "It's not about gaffes, political commercials or day-to-day campaign tactics. I find that heartening for our democracy."

Contact:
Kenneth Bickers, 303-492-2363
bickers@colorado.edu
Michael Berry, 303-556-6244
michael.berry@ucdenver.edu
Peter Caughey, CU-Boulder media relations, 303-492-4007
David Kelly, CU Denver media relations, 303-315-6374

Waving USA FLag

DeWitt Edwards

"If ye love wealth better than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, go home from us in peace. We ask not your counsels or arms. Crouch down and lick the hands which feed you. May your chains set lightly upon you, and may posterity forget that ye were our countrymen."
Samuel Adams

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Set my mailing list to email me As they are sent | In one daily email | Don't send me mailing list messages

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[Peninsula-Patriots] Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

Patriots - I received this email tonight. It's a call to action.
Ruth

---------- Forwarded message ----------

From: Scott Cooper <ScottCooper772@aol.com>
Date: Mon, Aug 27, 2012 at 9:19 PM
Subject: Your Help Is Needed - Trouble At GOP Convention in Tampa!

Ruth:

Once again, the GOP establishment is up to tricks that are an attempt to shut out the grassroots, as well as the citizens who have selected delegates to represent the people at this week's Republican National Convention.

Fortunately there are conservatives in Tampa, like National Delegates Morton Blackwell and Republican Party of Virginia Chairman Pat Mullins who are trying to put a stop to it.

Rather than my explaining what is happening and WHAT MUST BE DONE – please read Michelle Malkin's blog post, which explains exactly what YOU must do tonight and tomorrow morning to help put a stop to this madness.

Please click here to read Michelle Malkin's instructions!

Please take action and please forward this message to your conservative sphere of influence. Please do it tonight, as time is of the essence!

Blessings,

Scott Cooper

P.S. In the next 7 – 14 days I am working on a very important project that involves evangelical pastors in the state of Virginia. If you, or you know someone who would be interested in helping me with this important project – please reply to this e-mail and let me know! Thanks!

This message was sent to ruth1860@gmail.com from:

Scott Cooper | 10908 Courthouse Road Suite 102-230 | Fredericksburg, VA 22407

Email Marketing by

Manage Your Subscription | Forward This Message

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Please Note: If you hit "REPLY", your message will be sent to everyone on this mailing list (Peninsula-Patriots-list@meetup.com)
This message was sent by Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche (ruth1860@aol.com) from Peninsula Patriots.
To learn more about Ruth Litschewski & Carl Nitzsche, visit his/her member profile
Set my mailing list to email me As they are sent | In one daily email | Don't send me mailing list messages

Meetup, PO Box 4668 #37895 New York, New York 10163-4668 | support@meetup.com

RE: [Peninsula-Patriots] Election forcast